Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.368824 0.491718 0.633719 0.807442 1.011766 1.242081 1.518906
2025-10-26 0.186694 0.322926 0.506916 0.761911 1.094661 1.503278 2.031820
2025-11-02 0.098690 0.228925 0.435639 0.756897 1.214161 1.814255 2.633211
2025-11-09 0.045481 0.153687 0.360658 0.722266 1.280625 2.057487 3.166400
2025-11-16 0.024295 0.120448 0.338142 0.756037 1.441691 2.435933 3.899259
2025-11-23 0.010552 0.088141 0.302413 0.756637 1.547861 2.740872 4.546718
2025-11-30 0.005433 0.074808 0.299913 0.813106 1.744872 3.186941 5.410125
2025-12-07 0.002206 0.060581 0.288133 0.847721 1.906395 3.586665 6.222409
2025-12-14 0.000560 0.046268 0.267836 0.859330 2.026898 3.927410 6.960039
2025-12-21 0.000034 0.032323 0.238543 0.843615 2.094627 4.186223 7.583650
2025-12-28 NaN 0.024502 0.224261 0.857770 2.215950 4.533519 8.348509
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017585 0.206807 0.859402 2.311817 4.841626 9.061466
2026-01-11 NaN 0.010506 0.178811 0.827864 2.342321 5.047733 9.633412
2026-01-18 NaN 0.006043 0.156447 0.804723 2.386192 5.277412 10.249242
2026-01-25 NaN 0.003845 0.145375 0.811458 2.491763 5.616392 11.046150
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001742 0.124757 0.781036 2.513849 5.809770 11.616326
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001255 0.124648 0.819813 2.690666 6.282326 12.645278
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000608 0.115101 0.822048 2.784936 6.610074 13.447334
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000515 0.120728 0.882684 3.016852 7.192992 14.675947
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000326 0.120312 0.919767 3.196049 7.684815 15.764677
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000135 0.114151 0.932283 3.318094 8.075417 16.694660
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000020 0.102028 0.915766 3.369024 8.335841 17.414594
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000002 0.097479 0.930809 3.497120 8.742830 18.384482